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Military historian Phillips O’Brien: There have been no U.S. peace efforts in Ukraine.

There have been efforts to get Putin a very good deal, forcing Ukrainians to give up more territory and people. That is not peace. That is Washington trying to deliver Putin a success.

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“youths and men of such a temper who would calmly suppress their own reflections and opinions in which original thought is so impatient to manifest itself, such listeners attentive to the facts as Plato portrayed them, could hardly be imagined in a modern dialogue; and even less could one count on readers of similar disposition”

-- Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel: The Science of Logic.

Our youth and men are no different than those of two hundred years ago. I suspect Plato's patient listeners were to a greater degree imagined rather than real. In short, we can formulate the following law of impatience conservation: in a philosophical discourse, the difference between patience of the audience and patience required by the author is less than zero over duration of the discourse. dp/dt < 0.
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Иосиф Бродский в Нобелевской лекции:
В антропологическом смысле, повторяю, человек является существом эстетическим прежде, чем этическим.
...

Ибо человек со вкусом, в частности литературным, менее восприимчив к повторам и заклинаниям, свойственным любой форме политической демагогии. Дело не столько в том, что добродетель не является гарантией шедевра, сколько в том, что зло, особенно политическое, всегда плохой стилист. Чем богаче эстетический опыт индивидуума, чем тверже его вкус, тем четче его царственный выбор, тем он свободнее – хотя, возможно, и не счастливее.

https://www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2025/04/brodsky-lecture-russian.pdf
https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/literature/1987/brodsky/lecture/

Эстетически, твиты, картинки (AI slop) и золотые статуи Трампа - поток эксрементов. Причем, говнометание (flooding the zone with shit) в публичной сфере уже давно стало его сознательной медийной стратегией. Люди с минимальным вкусом должны чувствовать, что Трамп представляет собой зло; зловоние, расползающееся и проникающее во все щели общества. Поддержка, или даже нейтральное отношение к Трампу, означает эстетичскую инвалидность. Дело не в _политике_, о которой внезапно отказываются говорить трусы вроде часовщика, а в нежелании или неспособности называть говнюка говнюком.

re: https://yakov-a-jerkov.dreamwidth.org/2390711.html
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Several pages of “The Dog’s Gaze” are devoted to the most memorable little dog in art, the one in Carpaccio’s late-Quattrocento painting of St. Augustine in his beautiful Venetian study. The Maltese—who watches his master as the translucent apparition of St. Jerome appears at his study window—is alert and attentive without being capable of complete apprehension. We are reminded of dogs as an intermediary between mankind and the rest of creation, both sublunary and celestial; dogs remind us daily of our animal selves and are audience to our higher moments.

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/06/01/the-dogs-gaze-a-visual-history-thomas-w-laqueur-book-review




When the weather is good and walk my dog in the park I feel like the happiest, the smartest, the most beautiful person in the world. I don’t know how or why this happens, but it’s an unmistaken feeling.

TIL

May. 29th, 2026 10:16 pm
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Stephen Kotkin in today's Uncommon Knowledge told this joke when the host asked him about the current negotiations b/w US and Iran:
There’s a well known joke about a tourist in Ireland who asks one of the locals for directions to Dublin. The Irishman replies: ‘Well sir, if I were you, I wouldn’t start from here’.
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“It’s an old question in the philosophy of physics. People have been talking about it since Fermat first formulated it in the 1600s; Planck wrote volumes about it. The thing is, while the common formulation of physical laws is causal, a variational principle like Fermat’s is purposive, almost teleological.
...
Well, if I can speak anthropomorphic-projectionally, the light has to examine the possible paths and compute how long each one would take.” He plucked the last potsticker from the serving dish.
“And to do that,” I continued, “the ray of light has to know just where its destination is. If the destination were somewhere else, the fastest path would be different.

Gary nodded again. “That’s right; the notion of a ‘fastest path’ is meaningless unless there’s a destination specified. And computing how long a given path takes also requires information about what lies along that path, like where the water’s surface is.

I kept staring at the diagram on the napkin. “And the light ray has to know all that ahead of time, before it starts moving, right?”

...
That day when Gary first explained Fermat’s principle to me, he had mentioned that almost every physical law could be stated as a variational principle. Yet when humans thought about physical laws, they preferred to work with them in their causal formulation. I could understand that: the physical attributes that humans found intuitive, like kinetic energy or acceleration, were all properties of an object at a given moment in time. And these were conducive to a chronological, causal interpretation of events: one moment growing out of another, causes and effects creating a chain reaction that grew from past to future.

In contrast, the physical attributes that the heptapods found intuitive, like “action” or those other things defined by integrals, were meaningful only over a period of time. And these were conducive
to a teleological interpretation of events: by viewing events over a period of time, one recognized that there was a requirement that had to be satisfied, a goal of minimizing or maximizing. And one had to know the initial and final states to meet that goal; one needed knowledge of the effects before the causes could be initiated.”

-- Ted Chiang. “Stories of Your Life and Others.”

To understand LLMs and maybe other types of AI, one has to think like hectapods from Ted Chiang's story. Category theory is a bit like that too. First, you have to see roughly the entire diagram, e.g. topos or Kan extension, then think sequentially through its arrows second.

Thomas Nagel's philosophy fits right in too (Mind and Cosmos). AI models _are_ teleological. They know everything there's to know.
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Trump’s Deal With His Administration Also Ends His Tax Audits

WASHINGTON—President Trump’s extraordinary agreement with the federal government expanded Tuesday to end all pending tax audits of him and his businesses, according to a document posted by the Justice Department.

In the document, signed by Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, the government said it would be “FOREVER BARRED and PRECLUDED” from pursuing certain claims against Trump, his businesses and family members. The agreement specifically blocks the government from taking any action regarding tax returns that already have been filed.

Tuesday’s addendum includes broad language in which the U.S. pledges to cease pursuing any matters that are or could be pending with the IRS and with other agencies or departments. The statement includes family members and “related or affiliated individuals,” although it doesn’t clearly define those terms.

“He gets the money to spread among his friends and allies and also gets immunity for any review or audit. These guys just have no limit to what they’ll try to get away with.”

https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/government-deal-with-trump-expands-to-end-tax-audits-aad8f2bc


Real banana republic stuff.
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For example:
The accounts purchased at least $1.75 million of Nvidia’s stock in the quarter, including $500,000 on Jan. 6. A week later, the administration cleared the way for Nvidia to send its H200 artificial-intelligence chips to China. Last week, Trump invited Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang to travel aboard Air Force One for the state visit to China.


Pure luck, I guess.
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The breakdown of total U.S. agricultural and related product exports to China over the last 10 years (2016–2025) reveals a distinct rollercoaster pattern: [1, 2]
  • 2016: \(20.8\) billion
  • 2017: \(19.6\) billion
  • 2018: \(9.1\) billion (Dipped sharply due to retaliatory tariffs and trade disputes)
  • 2019: \(13.8\) billion
  • 2020: \(26.4\) billion (Rebounded following the Phase One Trade Agreement)
  • 2021: \(33.0\) billion
  • 2022: \(36.4\) billion (All-time high for agricultural prices and resilient demand)
  • 2023: \(31.6\) billion
  • 2024: \(27.3\) billion (China heavily shifted sourcing toward South America)
  • 2025: \(\$8.3\) billion (Deteriorated as the trade dispute ratcheted back up) [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6]


Last year (because of Trump's trade war) US sales of ag products to China fell to the lowest level in more than a decade. Moreover, in 2024 when Biden was the president US sales for 2025 were projected at $25B. Then Trump came in and the actual number for the year was three times lower than the estimate.

Now, the Great Negotiator announced a major achievement of his visit: China promised to buy
$17B worth of American ag products. In other words, during Trump's two years (2025-26) China is going to buy as much from the US as it would've bought in one year, had Trump not thrown the tariff tantrum in the first place. A whole year of sales is lost.

Art of the Deal in action!
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Natalie Harp, Trump’s executive assistant, plays an integral role in Trump’s Truth Social activity. She brings the president stacks of printed-out draft social-media posts for his approval. The proposed posts often recycle content from other accounts that Harp or advisers think would appeal to Trump, according to people familiar with the matter.

Harp then logs onto the president’s account—at times outside of normal work hours—and posts batches of Trump-approved messages, the people said. Trump personally signs off on all of the content posted to his account. While Harp often posts content on Trump’s behalf, the president posts some messages himself, White House officials said.

https://www.wsj.com/politics/trump-truth-social-late-night-posts-167cb47a

A thirty-something lady is the most powerful media influencer in the world. And her job, funded by US taxpayers, is to flood the world with shitposts.
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Пару дней назад Яков сделал пост о том, как RFJ jr, один из трамповских жополизов (по совместительству наш министр здравоохранения), объясняет, что Трамп был по-своему прав, когда заявлял о снижении цены лекарств на 600%, если она, по его словам, падала с $600 до $100.
https://yakov-a-jerkov.dreamwidth.org/2386697.html

"Логика" объяснения в том, что снижение в 6 раз можно каким-то образом представить как снижение на 600%. Объяснение потребовалось потому, что на слушаниях в Конгрессе сенаторы публично высмеяли трамповские заявления о 600%, и RFK jr., как и положено лояльному жополизу, пришлось Трампа защищать.

Я прочитал пост Якова и удивился, потому что накануне, в день слушаний в Конгрессе, в твиттере была ссылка на оригинальное видео, где RFK jr защищал 600% Трампа, но там были другие числа. Тогда он говорил про снижение с $600 до $10 и тоже объяснял, что у Трампа своя логика. https://x.com/krassenstein/status/2046991286649884740

Вопрос в том, почему вдруг понадобились отдельное публичное выступление RFK jr, теперь уже в присутствии самого Трампа, но с новыми числами. Оба объяснения 600% абсурдны с точки зрения не только математики, но и Американского Свода Коммерческих Правил (The Uniform Commercial Code). Если бы компания рекламировала в интернете или газете снижение цены на товар на 600%, ей бы пришлось сделать соответствующую скидку по требованию покупателя, т.е. доплатить за покупку.

Тем не менее, в администрации Трампа посчитали необходимым публично защитить дурака-начальника с версией расчетов, которые бы выглядели более правдоподобно, чем в выступлении RFK jr. в Конгрессе. Они поменяли числа и организовали новое выступление для прессы, теперь уже в присутствии самого Трампа, чтобы RFK jr. унизился и вылизал боссу задницу у всех на виду еще раз. Интересно, сколько людей в правительстве, кроме самого Президента и министра здравоохранения, занимались всей этой херней. (Но даже для них изначальнoe $600 -> $10 выглядело еще более необъяснимо, чем $600 -> $100, поэтому пришлось менять одну липу на другую.)

В свое время, когда после перестройки были опубликованы материалы ЦК КПСС и КГБ, люди с удивлением обнаружили, какой херней занимались советские руководители на самом высшем уровне. Похоже, в трамповской администрации царит тот же маразм, что и в брежневской.
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Now, Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, is taking the next step, one that would have been unthinkable even as recently as 2024. By word and deed, he’s showing Europe and the world how the post-American free world can preserve its liberty and independence.
...
No nation can match American might, but for the first time in my adult life, the moral and strategic heart of the defense of liberal democracy doesn’t beat in Washington. It doesn’t beat in London or Paris or Berlin or Ottawa, either. It’s in Kyiv, where a courageous leader and a courageous people have picked up the torch America has dropped.
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Пьеса Шварца "Убить Дракона" написана по мотивам одной из самых распространенных в мире сказок "The Dragon Slayer":
He discovers that a seven-headed dragon who lives on a mountain in the neighborhood demands: periodically a maiden asa sacrifice, else he will lay waste the entire country. The sacrifice has been agreed upon and the lot has fallen to the princess. The king promises that whoever saves her shall have her hand and half his kingdom.



-- Stith Thomson. The Folktale, 1978. UC Press.

This probably goes back to the Minotaur myth.
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Россия переходит из состояния "людоеды" в состояние "трупоеды".
В Смоленской области на территории мемориального комплекса «Катынь» открылась выставка «Десять веков польской русофобии». Об этом сообщили организаторы выставки — Российское военно-историческое общество (РВИО), которое возглавляет помощник президента РФ Владимир Мединский.
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Peggy Noonan:
They [two Trump's posts on Iran: 1. open the f-ing strait; 2. civilization will die tonight] constituted hitting a new bottom, a new and infernal, face-lit-by-flames bottom, in world communications. The posts weren’t showbiz, they were sinister. You destabilize the world when, as the American president, you say such things. You make all the babies in this delicately poised, always knock-down-able world less safe. You rob your own nation of a claim to moral seriousness in the military action in which it’s engaged: You are saying we’re not trying to protect life but plan to attack, and in the attacking kill noncombatants who are members of the targeted civilization. The moral high ground is relinquished. You lower the bar for all potential response. You encourage violent action by trumpeting your readiness for it.

It bolsters the position of your enemies—their animus is justified, their commitment deepened. It allows them to pretend they’re fighting for the continuation of their people and not only the continuation of their regime.

Donald Trump plays the part of the madman every day. His head fake would be sanity. If his advisers thought this was a good negotiating tactic—“Give ’em a little madman theory, Mr. President”—they really are hicks.

Mr. Trump’s trust in his gut seems to have grown overwhelming—not in his reasoning power, not his analysis of intelligence data, but gut.

A lot of gut instinct is pattern recognition—I’ve lived long, experienced much, and know how this movie ends. But that means gut is weighted toward past experience.

Sometimes gut is mere emotion dressed up as instinct. Sometimes it’s wishful thinking that feels like conviction. Sometimes it conveniently pre-empts hard reasoning.

You can trust your gut straight into catastrophe.

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/in-gut-we-trust-dde164b6

_Hick_ is the right term for describing Trump's supporters of the Art-of-the-deal flavor.
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What started as a tongue-in-cheek observation that “Trump always chickens out” has become a consistently profitable pattern. It works especially well when there’s a specific deadline like Tuesday night’s Strait of Hormuz ultimatum since there’s less danger of being right but getting the timing wrong.

Over the 300-plus trading sessions since Trump took the oath of office last year, nine of the S&P 500’s 10 biggest gains have had to do with relief over tariffs or Iran. Owning stocks on just those days would have earned an investor 52% on their money compared with 12% for buying and holding an index fund throughout. Wednesday’s cease-fire rally might crack the top six.

https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/iran-bounce-these-tacos-are-getting-stale-1f69dd3a


Also of interest:

A Trump insider opened a $51,000,000 oil short position — hours before Trump announced a ceasefire with Iran. This guy is now 16 for 16. $170 million in profit. A perfect streak.

"We placed the bet." "The ceasefire dropped." "We cashed out." Sixteen times in a row.
https://x.com/JamesTate121/status/2041908860576002256

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