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(no subject)
Mar. 23rd, 2026 08:16 pmSince last summer, the Fed lowered interest rates three times, for the total of 0.75%. Nevertheless, the risk premium didn't change much because the fucking moron keeps creating unnecessary risks and stimulates inflation.
upd 3/28/26: https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/battered-by-stock-losses-investors-find-little-relief-in-bonds-af3f8a14?mod
..falling bond prices have driven up the yield on the 10-year Treasury note by almost 0.5 percentage point, lifting borrowing costs throughout the economy. Rates on 30-year mortgages jumped to 6.38% last week, reversing a slide that had carried them to their lowest levels since 2022 and threatening the spring home-buying season.
upd 3/28/26: https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/battered-by-stock-losses-investors-find-little-relief-in-bonds-af3f8a14?mod
..falling bond prices have driven up the yield on the 10-year Treasury note by almost 0.5 percentage point, lifting borrowing costs throughout the economy. Rates on 30-year mortgages jumped to 6.38% last week, reversing a slide that had carried them to their lowest levels since 2022 and threatening the spring home-buying season.
(no subject)
Mar. 22nd, 2026 01:38 pmTwo thirds of Americans don't buy into Trump's "imminent threat" narrative. 68% think that the administration has yet to explain clearly the goals of the war. 69% of Independents disapprove of the war. Ultimately, it's a Trump cult war.
MAGA remains behind Trump and the war. They have confidence in him, even when they think it might last a long time, and they overwhelmingly approve of how he's handling the situation.
Contextually, this pattern of support from MAGA is in keeping with what we've seen on other matters — across all subjects, including military ones — over the years.
(no subject)
Mar. 8th, 2026 05:59 pmWSJ, Sunday, March 8, 2026
Trump has a talent for manufacturing a crisis out of nothing.
Trump has a talent for manufacturing a crisis out of nothing.
(no subject)
Jan. 31st, 2026 07:35 pm
Moral or, more precisely, immoral issues aside, Epstein ran a successful service business where he provided his customers, aka "friends", with exactly what they wanted when they wanted it. He also assumed legal risks, which the customers appreciated. That aspect of the business ultimately led to his incarceration and death.
Madame Hollywood was convicted in the 1990s, so Epstein learned from her mistakes and located his high-end sex services center on an island, not in a large city like LA where the word would eventually get out.
I wonder who provides the services now and how they deal with risks.
(no subject)
Jan. 25th, 2026 06:22 pmWSJ: Federal agents holding a man down and spraying chemical irritants in his face last week in Minneapolis. RICHARD TSONG-TAATARII/STAR TRIBUNE/ZUMA PRESS
https://www.wsj.com/us-news/minneapolis-pretti-trump-immigration-protests-068b69d4
https://www.wsj.com/us-news/minneapolis-pretti-trump-immigration-protests-068b69d4
(no subject)
Jun. 24th, 2025 01:59 pmPrediction markets don't buy the "obliteration" story
https://polymarket.com/event/fordow-nuclear-facility-destroyed-before-july
https://polymarket.com/event/fordow-nuclear-facility-destroyed-before-july
(no subject)
Feb. 2nd, 2025 11:18 pmI keep coming back to this video about the relationship between (pre-)sheafs and cohomology. Here he says that "the number one technique in mathematics is turning any problem into a linear algebra problem.
More generally, Lawvere often talks about mapping geometry to algebra.
https://youtu.be/RPuWHN0BTio?si=U0h7YM-3GlcyvnS5&t=1890
D --> J <-- T ( c: D --> T is the solution to a choice problem, per Lawvere).
d: D --> J
e: T --> J
c: D --> T
This diagram is a regular Kan extension problem, with a cohomology twist, i.e. assigning values to both objects and arrows.
More generally, Lawvere often talks about mapping geometry to algebra.
https://youtu.be/RPuWHN0BTio?si=U0h7YM-3GlcyvnS5&t=1890
D --> J <-- T ( c: D --> T is the solution to a choice problem, per Lawvere).
d: D --> J
e: T --> J
c: D --> T
This diagram is a regular Kan extension problem, with a cohomology twist, i.e. assigning values to both objects and arrows.
