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We asked Amodei and four other leaders in AI how they think about their own children’s futures and what advice they give them.
...
--There are two areas that I think will be vibrant in the short to medium term. One is energy. The other is healthcare.

-- In terms of what he should study in college... I’d rather it be something in the space of mathematics because logical thinking is something that will be required in any future role because of how AI works.

-- My kids are interested in broad careers like law and medicine, so I’m less worried. I think generalist jobs, where there are many different skills bundled together, are good jobs in an AI world. .. A liberal-arts education matters more than ever.

-- Metacognitive skills will be very important—flexibility, adaptability, experimentation, thinking critically, being able to challenge things. Developing critical-thinking skills requires friction, doing things that are hard, doing deep thinking.

For that, a traditional liberal-arts education is really important.

-- So, if anything—and this sounds funny to say about future teenagers—I might orient my kids toward more socializing and understanding how they relate to people in their own unique way.


https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/what-ai-executives-tell-their-own-kids-about-the-jobs-of-the-future-1ba43f65
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Three times a year, the forecasting platform Metaculus hosts a tournament that is known to have especially difficult questions. It generally attracts the more serious forecasters, Ben Shindel, a materials scientist who ranked third among participants in a recent competition, told me. Last year, at its Summer Cup, a London-based start-up called Mantic entered an AI prediction engine.

A few months later, the guesses from Mantic’s prediction engine and the other tournament participants were scored against the real-life outcomes and one another. The AI placed eighth out of more than 500 entrants, a new record for a bot.

Mantic’s prediction engine combines a bunch of LLMs and assigns each one different tasks. One might serve as an expert on a database of election results. Another might be asked to scan weather data, economic outcomes, or box-office receipts, depending on the question that it’s attacking. The models work together as a team to generate a final prediction.

On Metaculus, a group of forecasters has taken to estimating when AIs will have the chops to out-predict an elite team of humans. Last January, they said there was about a 75 percent chance this would happen by 2030. Now they think it’s more like 95 percent.

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/02/ai-prediction-human-forecasters/685955/

The feedback cycle is long, but the approach seems to be working nevertheless.
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“Yet no nanocomputer or other complex circuit was built for a decade and a half. [32]  We had the devices. What we do not have, still, is simply the infrastructure that macroscopic technology takes for granted: the ability to sort and test parts; to cut and join materials; to create frameworks that can hold devices in designed relationships, and the ability to place parts into such frameworks.”

J Storrs Hall. “Where Is My Flying Car?: A Memoir of Future Past.”
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Imagine a world where we have a cure for melanoma. Would people spend more time on the beach? Would the sunscreen industry go bankrupt?
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I think I'm getting the hang of the Kan extension concept. For example, the future, at least in technology, seems to be a left Kan extension, while the past and the present would be the right one. This is just an initial idea I and sill need to develop a proof with specific examples, using the system model.

In the meantime, I"m hoping to finish the first draft of the book by the end of this year. It looks quite doable because I'm already halfway through the Cinderella part, which should be next to last.
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“ their excitement resides in a sense of futurity, opening up ways of feeling and acting that were not possible before.”

--- Hägglund. “This Life: Secular Faith and Spiritual Freedom.”
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the yellow fever will discourage the growth of great cities in our nation; & I view great cities as pestilential to the morals, the health and the liberties of man. true, they nourish some of the elegant arts; but the useful ones can thrive elsewhere, and less perfection in the others with more health virtue & freedom would be my choice.

--- From Thomas Jefferson to Benjamin Rush, 23 September 1800.
https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Jefferson/01-32-02-0102


re: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1793_Philadelphia_yellow_fever_epidemic

As usual, the future looks crazy, the past [even when represented by major figures of that time] looks stupid.
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Crazy ⊣ Stupid

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