(no subject)

[timelets]

Betfair odds: Trump – 1.98, Harris – 2.14

Harris is still down, but her odds have improved from 2.24 yesterday.

https://betting.betfair.com/politics/us-politics/2024-presidential-election-betting-the-latest-data-from-the-betfair-exchange-040624-6.html

Comments

[tijd]

Tectonic plates are shifting slowly.

White voters without degrees, a core Trump base group, are heavily in Trump’s favor and their margin is unchanged. Two-thirds of college-educated white women, though, are now in Harris’ camp, which would be far higher than the percentage that sided with Biden in 2020.
https://www.npr.org/2024/08/06/g-s1-15701/election-poll-harris-trump

[timelets]

So far, the Harris campaign avoided making mistakes. At the same time, Trump is going nowhere. He might've reached the ceiling of his support. We'll see.