TIL: the affect heuristic

“One intriguing finding was that a natural event such as an earthquake could influence estimations of the likelihood of a stock market crash. The respondents in our survey assigned statistically significantly higher probabilities to a stock market crash if there had been an earthquake within thirty miles of their zip code within thirty days, triggering the affect heuristic.”

Robert J. Shiller. “Narrative Economics.”

В каком месте у этого человека мозги?

Эталонный трамповатник yostrov пишет:

"Важно то, что Трамп помогает Украине бороться с коррупцией, освободиться от России и стать настоящей страной."

https://yakov-a-jerkov.livejournal.com/1735821.html?thread=63800461#t63800461

Суровые мексиканские мужики

SAN DIEGO —Smuggling gangs in Mexico have repeatedly sawed through new sections of President Trump’s border wall in recent months by using commercially available power tools, opening gaps large enough for people and drug loads to pass through, according to U.S. agents and officials with knowledge of the damage.

The breaches have been made using a popular cordless household tool known as a reciprocating saw that retails at hardware stores for as little as $100. When fitted with specialized blades, the saws can slice through one of the barrier’s steel-and-concrete bollards in a matter of minutes, according to the agents, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly about the barrier-defeating techniques.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/smugglers-are-sawing-through-new-sections-of-trumps-border-wall/ar-AAJJ8Zc

Забавный парадокс получается: с одной стороны, трамповата понимает, что защищать собственность нужно с оружием в руках; с другой стороны, та же трамповата не понимает, что забор на границе можно защитить, только если пограничники будут стрелять на поражение по мексиканским мужикам, которые пилят тот забор.