Apr. 13th, 2018

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Сейчас начнется вторая холодная война. В короткой перспективе (3-5 лет), она приведет к некоторым проблемам в поставках энергоносителей в центральную и западную Европу. В долгосрочной перспективе (10-20 лет), произойдет развитие "зеленых" и энергосберегающих технологий, которые существенно снизят зависимость от традиционных углеводородов, поставляемых с территории России.

Решения Путина по украинскому вопросу - преступление перед гражданами России.

https://timelets.livejournal.com/2014/03/05/

Sometimes it's hard to explain to Americans, esp. the трамповата-leaning kind, that for the EU green energy is a strategic choice.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-43759873
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“With the ending of hostilities the position in Rome with regard to supplies became easier. Grain was imported from Campania and most people, now that the threat of famine had passed, brought out what they had hoarded. Peace and plenty were accompanied, however, by a return of popular discontent, and, troubles abroad having ceased, fresh causes for them were sought at home.”

-- Titus Livy. “The Early History of Rome.”

Is this persistent trade-off based on the need to survive, e.g. as described by Taleb?

“Faced by this storm the consuls quickly realized the insecurity of high position unsupported by force. ”

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