timelets: (Default)
[personal profile] timelets
I've been thinking lately how we could model a potential conflict between "народ" и "интеллигенция" in Russia. Heres's some initial thoughts:

- the model should include 3 actors (distributions): one from "народ" (A), one from "интеллигенция" (B), one from the government (C) (executive power over A & B);
- costs of producing A << B
- B provides paid services to A and C
- C can select A & B to deal with an emergency, e.g. fight a war
- C has costs associated with selecting A & B for the emergency
-- A & B obey orders differently
- A & B can earn value or transform by dealing with the emergency, e.g. advance in rank
- A & B can die in the emergency, e.g. killed in action
- A & B has different abilities (costs) to influence C
- A & B has different abilities (costs) to transform into C
- should consider a dynamic process: stages?

Intuitively, the problem arises when costs of selecting are low (people's lives are cheap) and corruption is high (costs of influencing -> beta distribution). social mobility should also have an effect.
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timelets

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