timelets: (Default)
2021-05-05 01:45 pm

TIL: Zero Trust Architecture

e.g. https://www.paloaltonetworks.com/cyberpedia/what-is-a-zero-trust-architecture

This looks like another aspect of the services revolution, i.e. specificity and verification are now so computationally cheap that we can provide just in time customization, including security. See Oliver Williamson's framework for transaction analysis.
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2020-10-06 11:33 am

Simulacrum



I wonder whether Trump will be banned on Twitter and Facebook after he gets kicked out of the White House on Jan 20, 2021. Right now, their only excuse for allowing him to violate their rules is "public interest." Once he's no longer the president, his malicious bullshit is no better than that of, e.g. Alex Jones'.

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2020-10-01 08:38 am

(no subject)

The U.S. has tried—and failed—over the past 15 years to build a system to share such information in a crisis. When the pandemic started, nothing like it existed. The limited and inconsistent access to data has been a major impediment to providing hospital care during the pandemic, according to interviews with industry and government officials and thousands of internal documents and emails.

Weeks after the coronavirus surfaced, administration officials began putting together a solution. It was riddled with mistakes and slowed by competing agency attempts to solve the problem, the interviews and documents show. Today, with some U.S. cities bracing for more cases, there is still no viable way to broadly track what’s happening inside hospitals.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/hospitals-covid-surge-data-11601478409
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2020-06-15 08:32 am
Entry tags:

(no subject)

Harmful speech:
Mr Wong said the Government recognises that maintaining a 1m distance from another person on public transport is not easy. But other measures have been implemented to continue safeguarding commuters.

This includes the mandatory wearing of masks, and urging commuters not to talk to one another or on the phone during the journey. Public transport operators have also been asked to step up their cleaning regimes, he added.
https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/health/working-from-home-will-continue-to-be-the-default-in-phase-2-to-reduce-transmission

timelets: (Default)
2020-06-08 07:32 pm

(no subject)

And once one has used a copier, one tends to be hooked. Perhaps the chief danger of this addiction is not so much the cluttering up of files and loss of important material through submersion as it is the insidious growth of a negative attitude toward originals—a feeling that nothing can be of importance unless it is copied, or is a copy itself.

Various magazine articles have predicted nothing less than the disappearance of the book as it now exists, and pictured the library of the future as a sort of monster computer capable of storing and retrieving the contents of books electronically and xerographically. The “books” in such a library would be tiny chips of computer film—“editions of one.” Everyone agrees that such a library is still some time away.

Read more... )

-- John Brooks. “Business Adventures: Twelve Classic Tales from the World of Wall Street.”
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2020-06-07 09:47 am

(no subject)

Preliminary research suggests students nationwide will return to school in the fall with roughly 70% of learning gains in reading relative to a typical school year, and less than 50% in math, according to projections by NWEA, an Oregon-based nonprofit that provides research to help educators tailor instruction. It expects a greater learning loss for minority and low-income children who have less access to technology, and for families more affected by the economic downturn.


https://www.wsj.com/articles/schools-coronavirus-remote-learning-lockdown-tech-11591375078
timelets: (Default)
2020-05-31 08:55 pm

Quote of the Day

About the stock market crash of May 28, 1962
“Remember that this happened at the end of about twelve years of generally rising stock prices. After more than a decade of more or less constant profits to yourself and your customers, you get to think you’re pretty good. You’re on top of it. You can make money, and that’s that. This break exposed a weakness. It subjected one to a certain loss of self-confidence, from which one was not likely to recover quickly.” The whole thing was enough, apparently, to make a broker wish that he were in a position to adhere to de la Vega’s cardinal rule: “Never give anyone the advice to buy or sell shares, because, where perspicacity is weakened, the most benevolent piece of advice can turn out badly."

John Brooks. “Business Adventures: Twelve Classic Tales from the World of Wall Street.”


Read more... )
timelets: (Default)
2020-05-26 06:50 pm

TIL

60 процентов Республиканцев считают, что смертность от COVID19 не выше, чем от сезонного гриппа.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/311408/republicans-skeptical-covid-lethality.aspx

До вакцинации, людям старше 50 надо держаться подальше от Республиканцев.

upd. Actually, I'm quite wrong here because the probability of dying from COVID19 depends on the probability of a 4C-like situation, wherein having a Republican there is just a small portion of the estimate.
timelets: (Default)
2020-05-04 12:43 pm

(no subject)

I can't believe this simple idea can be so controversial in the west, while totally obvious in the east.

Every time people cough, sneeze, talk or even breathe they can spread droplets containing the virus.

That’s the rather graphic conclusion of the Royal Society, Britain’s oldest and most prestigious scientific academy.

It highlights the risk of the virus being spread by people who don’t realise they have it - either because they’ve yet to develop symptoms or because they never show symptoms at all.

This is how an estimated 40-80% of coronavirus infections happen and that’s why the panel recommends face masks.

The report stresses that high-quality masks should be reserved for medical and care workers.

But it says homemade face coverings can be effective, not at protecting the wearer but at preventing the wearer from infecting others where social distancing isn’t possible, on public transport and in shops and workplaces.

The issue has become highly divisive. Some researchers say the Royal Society’s report has ignored the risk to the public, for example, of contaminating themselves when handling masks.

The UK government is still considering the evidence.

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-52525531

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2020-05-01 10:18 am

(no subject)

...Germany has conducted more than two million Covid-19 diagnostic tests so far, almost twice as much per population as the U.S. The government is now pushing to increase testing capacity from nearly 900,000 to 4.5 million a week by corralling animal health labs—this would be equivalent to testing 18 million Americans a week.
...
[for example] Boris Palmer, mayor of Tübingen, population 90,000, made sure each of the 15,000 residents over age 65 received a face mask and ordered systematic testing for all residents and employees of nursing homes.

In the early days of the epidemic, when countries such as Britain struggled to even procure testing kits, Mr. Palmer organized mobile testing in the form of medical vans that provided walk-in swabbing in his city’s squares. Cross-party support at the state level helped quickly mobilize funds for the testing, Mr. Palmer said.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/local-practical-apolitical-inside-germanys-successful-coronavirus-strategy-11588325403

timelets: (Default)
2020-04-16 01:48 pm

(no subject)

A good example about the relationship between information and allocation:
“Imagine you’re stepping on a traditional medical scale. It has two weight bars, one with notches at fifty-pound intervals and the other with notches at one-pound intervals. This allows the user to measure their weight down to the pound. What would happen if your doctor used a scale with only one bar with just two notches, one at fifty pounds and one at five hundred pounds, with no way to measure anything in between? Good luck getting medical advice after the person weighing you writes one or the other on your chart. You could only be morbidly obese or severely underweight. It would be impossible to make good decisions about your weight with such a poor model.

The same holds true for just about all of our decisions. If we misrepresent the world at the extremes of right and wrong, with no shades of grey in between, our ability to make good choices—choices about how we are supposed to be allocating our resources, what kind of decisions we are supposed to be making, and what kind of actions we are supposed to be taking—will suffer.”

--- Annie Duke. “Thinking in Bets.”
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2020-04-01 02:40 pm

(no subject)

Pan's mantle, or clothing, is with great ingenuity made of a leopard's skin, because of the spots it has; for in like manner the heavens. are sprinkled with stars, the sea with islands, the earth with flowers, and almost each particular thing is variegated, or wears a mottled coat.

--- Francis Bacon, The Wisdom of the Ancients.

https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_the_Ancients/2#Chapter_VI


This would be a good illustration of the principle that a difference against a background is a precursor to data.
timelets: (Default)
2020-02-01 09:13 am

(no subject)

Book- based research is free of risk and hardship—or at least it is if you ensure that you find yourself either a city where there are plenty of historical works available, or a nearby library. Then all you have to do is recline on a couch while carrying out your research and collating the statements† of earlier writers, and there is no hardship involved in that. But although investigative work involves a great deal of discomfort and expense, it has a great deal to offer in return; in fact, it is the most important thing a historian can do.

--- Polybius, The Histories.


This is a good insight that helps understand why and where the internet (and TV) promotes knowledge vs conspiracy theories.
timelets: (Default)
2020-01-31 03:26 pm

(no subject)

The point is that, just as it is impossible for someone who lacks military experience to write well about warfare, it is impossible for someone who has never acted in the political sphere or faced a political crisis to write good political history. Nothing written by authors who rely on mere book-learning has the clarity that comes from personal experience, and so nothing is gained by reading their work. For without its educational element, history is altogether uninspiring and useless. Moreover, when such authors decide, despite their lack of relevant experience, to give detailed accounts of cities and terrains, obviously the same thing happens: they omit a great deal that is worth mentioning, and linger over things that do not deserve it.

--- Polybius, The Histories.


Note also his use of the term "education" that implies practical experience in a specific field of study.
timelets: (Default)
2019-06-23 04:37 pm

TIL: Perception Gap


You might think that people who regularly read the news are more informed about their political opponents. In fact, the opposite is the case. We found that the more news people consumed, the larger their Perception Gap.
...
We identified how specific news sources are associated with varying levels of distorted understanding in their audiences. Some news sources are associated with larger Perception Gaps, in particular Breitbart, Drudge Report and popular talk radio programs such as Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh. But large Perception Gaps are also associated with liberal sources such as Huffington Post and the Daily Kos. Only one media source is associated with better understanding other Americans’ views: the traditional television networks of ABC, NBC and CBS.

https://perceptiongap.us/



wsj seems to be ok too.
timelets: (Default)
2019-06-12 10:43 pm

Kantian meditation

All ignorance is 
      either ignorance 
               of things or 
of the 
        limits of knowledge. 
If my 
      ignorance is 
              accidental and not
                         necessary, 
it must incite me, 
               in the first case, 
to a dogmatical inquiry 
                    regarding 
the objects 
          of which 
                 I am ignorant; 
in the second, 
            to a critical 
                investigation into 
the bounds of all 
               possible knowledge. 

But that my 
       ignorance is 
             absolutely necessary and 
unavoidable, and 
              that it consequently 
absolves from the duty of 
                         all further 
investigation, 
          is a fact which 
                      cannot be made out 
upon empirical grounds —
                    from observation — 
but upon critical grounds 
                     alone, that is, 
by a thoroughgoing investigation 
                  into the primary sources of
cognition. 

It follows that 
             the determination 
                  of the bounds of reason 
can be made only 
              on a priori grounds; 
while the empirical limitation of 
                                 reason, 
which is merely 
              an indeterminate cognition 
of an ignorance that can never 
                  be completely 
                              removed, 
can take place only 
                   a posteriori.

Immanuel Kant. “The Critique of Pure Reason.”
timelets: (Default)
2019-06-09 10:52 pm

Kantian meditation

... it must be perfectly 
         indifferent to you 
                   whether you say, 
when you 
       have discovered 
                   this unity: 
God has wisely 
            willed 
                   it so; 
         or:
Nature has wisely 
                arranged. 

For it was nothing but
                the systematic unity, 
which reason 
           requires 
                 as a basis for the investigation
of nature, 
that justified you
                in accepting 
                           the idea of
a supreme intelligence
                       as a schema for
                              a regulative principle;
and, the farther you 
            advance in the discovery 
of design 
        and finality, the more certain 
                                  the validity 
of your
           idea.
...
These principles, 
             by placing the goal of all
our struggles 
             at so great 
                        a distance, 
realize for us 
              the most thorough 
                         connection between 
the different parts of 
                     our cognition, 
                               and the highest 
degree of systematic unity. 
                            But, 
on the other hand,
              if misunderstood 
                        and employed as 
constitutive principles
                of transcendent cognition, 
                                  they become 
the parents of illusions 
                    and contradictions, 
                            while pretending to 
introduce us to 
             new regions of 
                          knowledge.


--- Immanuel Kant, The Critique of Pure Reason.