timelets: (Default)
timelets ([personal profile] timelets) wrote2016-07-05 08:21 pm

Че там у республиканцев?

Оказывается, по сравнению с Ромни Трамп теряет голоса даже в традиционно "красных" штатах.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-swing-state-polls-and-national-polls-basically-say-the-same-thing/

Screen Shot 2016-07-05 at 8.12.49 PM

Romney won these states by an average of 16 percentage points in 2012, weighted by their turnout. By contrast, Trump leads them by an average of only 7 percentage points, a net swing of 9 points toward Clinton. She’s competitive in a few of these states, such as Georgia, Arizona and — more exotically — Utah and Kansas.