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Соскочит

Tue, 07 Apr 2026 22:06:59 GMT

President Donald Trump said he was in “heated negotiations” involving the war with Iran after mediator Pakistan asked for a two-week extension of his Tuesday deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-07/us-strikes-kharg-island-as-trump-says-iran-could-die-tonight

Everyone, except MAGA idiots, knows that the heated negotiations are happening in his own head, as he's desperately trying to get out of this war. The markets are betting that he'll grab the lifeline thrown to him by Pakistan. What a moron.

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50/50

Tue, 07 Apr 2026 02:56:36 GMT

Trump is considering whether to join Putin and Netanyahu in the race to become the next ~~Nobel Peace Prize winner~~ Hitler. The WSJ makes a halfhearted argument against it.

The U.S. has a strong interest in causing chaos for Iran’s military, and targeting can allow it to do so without bombing every power plant in the country.

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/iran-donald-trump-ultimatum-strait-of-hormuz-dan-caine-john-ratcliffe-4f9d3372

"Well, isn't that special."

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Mon, 06 Apr 2026 05:04:56 GMT

Ah, the good old days when generals were portrayed as crazy warmongers and the president with his staff were presented as intelligent and acting responsibly. Now, it's the other way around and sheer madness is called the art of the deal.

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Fri, 03 Apr 2026 17:38:28 GMT

In internal deliberations before the war’s launch, Hegseth had pointed to Iran's muted reaction to Trump’s past attacks as evidence that calibrated force could impose costs on Tehran without triggering a broader war. Hegseth “was caught off guard.

The Administration also appeared to be taken by surprise when Iran reached for a source of leverage: control over the Strait of Hormuz, which roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply passes through each day. In response to U.S. strikes, Tehran implemented a de facto blockade, declaring the channel effectively closed and restricting passage to non-hostile vessels. The resulting economic shock had domestic reverberations that went beyond the expectations of Trump’s inner circle.

https://time.com/article/2026/04/02/trump-iran-off-ramp/

Now, Hegseth is firing generals because they know he is the clueless amateur who got the country into a quagmire.

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Mon, 30 Mar 2026 04:28:41 GMT

I think these old farts will try to capture Iranian islands next weekend because "it's easy", just like the healthcare reform or tariffs.

Exhibit 1:

Trump said: “To be honest with you, my favourite thing is to take the oil in Iran but some stupid people back in the US say: ‘why are you doing that?’ But they’re stupid people.”

Asked about the state of Iranian defence on Kharg Island he said: “I don’t think they have any defence. We could take it very easily.”

https://www.ft.com/content/3bd9fb6c-2985-4d24-b86b-23b7884031f5?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Exhibit 2:

Retired Gen. Frank McKenzie, the former commander of U.S. Central Command (Centcom), said Sunday... some of those islands you could seize and hold.
“First of all, it would be profoundly humiliating for Iran and would give us great weight in negotiations. The second, the example of Kharg Island, which everyone talks about, if you seize Kharg Island, you really can shut down the Iranian oil economy completely. And the beauty of seizing it is, you’re not destroying it,” he said.

https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5806811-mckenzie-us-iran-raids/

As if drones don't exist yet. Humiliating my foot! What if Iran decides to destroy oil and desalination facilities in other Gulf countries in response? We just saw how Ukraine hit Russia's oil shipping infrastructure on the Baltic sea. We just saw how Iran destroyed multiple US planes on a military base in SA. The fucking moron seem to think every ground operation is a just another Venezuela excursion.

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Israel is becoming toxic on the right

Thu, 26 Mar 2026 17:24:18 GMT

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Kleptocracy chronicles

Mon, 23 Mar 2026 19:52:29 GMT

At around 6:50 a.m. in New York, S&P 500 e-Mini futures trading on the CME recorded a sharp and isolated jump in volume.
A similar pattern was observed in oil markets.
Roughly 15 minutes later, at 7:05 a.m., Trump posted a market-moving announcement about Iran on Truth Social.

At around 6:50 a.m. in New York, S&P 500 e-Mini futures trading on the CME recorded a sharp and isolated jump in volume, breaking from an otherwise subdued premarket backdrop.
A similar pattern was observed in oil markets. West Texas Intermediate May futures also saw a noticeable pickup in trading activity at roughly the same time, with a distinct volume spike interrupting otherwise quiet conditions.

Roughly 15 minutes later, at 7:05 a.m., Trump said on Truth Social that the U.S. and Iran had held talks and that he was halting planned strikes on Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure.

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/23/volume-in-stock-and-oil-futures-surged-minutes-before-trumps-market-turning-post.html

Of course, there will be no SEC investigation into insider trading.

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MEGA!

Mon, 23 Mar 2026 18:45:47 GMT

Make Earth Great Again!

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Sun, 22 Mar 2026 20:49:09 GMT

Two thirds of Americans don't buy into Trump's "imminent threat" narrative. 68% think that the administration has yet to explain clearly the goals of the war. 69% of Independents disapprove of the war. Ultimately, it's a Trump cult war.

MAGA remains behind Trump and the war. They have confidence in him, even when they think it might last a long time, and they overwhelmingly approve of how he's handling the situation.

Contextually, this pattern of support from MAGA is in keeping with what we've seen on other matters — across all subjects, including military ones — over the years.

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Sun, 22 Mar 2026 18:41:20 GMT

President Trump threatened to “hit and obliterate” Iran’s power plants if the country doesn’t reopen the Strait of Hormuz in the next two days.

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/iran-us-israel-war-updates-2026/card/trump-threatens-to-obliterate-iran-s-power-plants-if-it-doesn-t-open-hormuz-strait-ZLzqUBs1JUhKGS1M76xc

Trump aspires to become a war criminal just like his Russian role model, the khuilo.

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Соскочит или нет?

Fri, 20 Mar 2026 22:35:44 GMT

President Donald Trump said he was considering “winding down” US military efforts against Iran, saying that the US was close to achieving its objectives as the conflict, which has roiled financial markets and the region, nears a fourth week.

“The Hormuz Strait will have to be guarded and policed, as necessary, by other Nations who use it — The United States does not!” Trump said. “If asked, we will help these Countries in their Hormuz efforts, but it shouldn’t be necessary once Iran’s threat is eradicated. Importantly, it will be an easy Military Operation for them.”

Trump, a little over an hour before his social media post, had rejected the idea of declaring a halt to hostilities and expressed confidence Hormuz would reopen “itself” despite allies’ reluctance to offer assistance.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-20/trump-says-he-doesn-t-want-ceasefire-in-iran-conflict

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Wed, 18 Mar 2026 20:47:39 GMT

Before the war with Iran, strategically minded people even within MAGA movement complained that the US is stretched too thin to confront China. In particular, they cited US commitments in Europe as a major drain on our military assets.

Now, after the Iran war, unless there's a dovish regime change, the US would have to extend its military umbrella over the Persian Gulf countries: SA, UAE, Qatar, etc. In short, the US will be stretched thinner than before. That would be the price we would end up paying for Netanyahu winning the next elections in Israel.

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Sun, 15 Mar 2026 19:22:56 GMT

Trump built his perfect war echo chamber, so that his ego doesn't get challenged even in matters of life and death.

Preparations for a major military operation typically involve weeks or months of deliberations, written options papers, dissenting views from officials across different agencies, and meetings with the National Security Council. But according to administration officials, planning for the Iran operation was handled by a much smaller circle.

This included Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. While this allowed Trump to limit leaks and move quickly as events shifted, it also narrowed the range of advice and dissent that reached the president as he weighed the risks of attacking Iran.

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/five-takeaways-from-wsjs-reporting-on-trumps-decision-to-launch-a-war-in-iran-8ac226eb

The Constitution explicitly forbids the echo chamber on war-related matters, but the pompous lying moron found a way around the prohibition by making this laughable claim : "the imminent threat was that we knew that if Iran was attacked, and we believed they would be attacked, that they would immediately come after us."

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Sat, 14 Mar 2026 19:21:21 GMT

As usual, Trump will create a lot of mess, proclaim a victory, then get bored, leave and let others cleanup his shit.

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Sat, 07 Mar 2026 02:55:09 GMT

People in the persuasion business know very well that the best way to get someone to pull your chestnuts out of the fire would be to convince them that doing so was their own idea in the first place. That is, if you care about the outcome it doesn't matter to you who gets the attribution for the original idea and its execution. Moreover, а vain person is an easy target for such _inception_ manipulation because they crave flattery.

When a couple of days ago both Rubio and Johnson stated publicly that Netanyahu forced Trump's hand in starting the Iran war and the next day Trump said NO-NO-NO it was _my_ idea in the first place, it became obvious to knowledgeable people that Trump's _denial_ was actually a confirmation of the Rubio/Johnson story. Exploiting Trump's vanity is a big business now — from presidential pardons, to tariff exemptions, to foreign wars; those with access to the president send and receive strong signals about how to get things done.

upd: once, a successful litigator explained to me the difference between an ok lawyer and a good one. An ok lawyer, while presenting evidence, tells the jury what conclusion they should make. A good lawyer doesn’t tell the jury what they should conclude until they have already come to that conclusion on their own.

upd1: WSJ, March 7, 2026:

His focus on winning over Trump was a departure from his long-held view that the path to influence in Washington ran through American voters. Netanyahu was a frequent guest on cable news, arguing Israel’s case directly to the public.

This time, he has taken an unusual back-seat role in driving the public rhetoric in the U.S. Netanyahu has emphasized Trump’s central role in the war and credited the president with key decisions, portraying him as the driving force behind the effort against Iran. In television interviews and public statements, Netanyahu has stressed that Trump acts in America’s interests and makes his own decisions.

That approach is playing to Trump’s instincts. “He has figured out how to persuade and partner with and flatter Trump in ways that have been extremely effective in advancing his goals,” said Daniel Shapiro, a former deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East.

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/netanyahu-finally-got-what-he-wanted-on-iran-by-appealing-to-an-audience-of-one-a0d39c7b

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Fri, 06 Mar 2026 04:30:10 GMT

За просчеты нашего хуйла будет расплачиваться Украина.

The US has cleared the way for India to temporarily increase its purchases of Russian oil, reversing months of pressure on the world’s third-largest crude importer as an escalating conflict in the Persian Gulf upends energy flows.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-06/us-issues-license-to-allow-some-russian-oil-sales-to-india-mme5qix4

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Great Negotiator!

Tue, 03 Mar 2026 18:17:01 GMT

President Trump said in the Oval Office that he believed Iran was “going to attack first,” as he discussed his reason for striking Iran.

That perspective developed during negotiations with Tehran, he said.

“We were having negotiations with these lunatics,” he said, referring to Iran. “It was my opinion that they were going to attack first.”

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/iran-israel-us-strikes-2026/card/trump-says-he-thought-iran-was-going-to-attack-first--4ELJsHHebf6NV5Je3uF2

Our stable genius believed that when faced with a historic American and Israeli military buildup in the region and after its air defenses were pummeled in the last year's confrontation Iran would attack first. I hope he's lying as usual. The alternative would be he's dumb as a rock.

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Mon, 02 Mar 2026 03:03:26 GMT

This time around, the US didn't even try to present any proofs of Iran's nuclear misdeeds. Maybe because nobody would believe Trump anyway.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/just-one-four-americans-support-us-strikes-iran-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2026-03-01/

As before, Republicans are opposite of Independents, not Democrats.

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Speaking of Epic Fury

Mon, 02 Mar 2026 02:52:29 GMT

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Sun, 01 Mar 2026 17:59:53 GMT

Israeli and U.S. military intelligence had long watched and waited for a rare opportunity: senior political and military leaders in Iran holding a meeting—where they could all be killed at once.

The day finally came Saturday.

Intelligence officers had identified not just one meeting but three, Israeli officials said. And they had a fix on Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s top decision maker and spiritual leader.

The moment was so unique that U.S. and Israeli warplanes struck in full daylight. Israeli jets dropped 30 bombs on Khamenei’s compound leaving it scorched and shattered.

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/why-the-u-s-and-israel-struck-iran-when-they-did-a-chance-to-kill-its-leaders-b0dbbc88

Trump started the war because he had an opportunity to kill Khamenei. That's all.

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Банальность зла 3

Mon, 02 Feb 2026 03:03:12 GMT

Россия ударила беспилотниками рядом со служебным автобусом одного из предприятий в Павлоградском районе, сообщил глава Днепропетровской области Александр Ганжа. По данным энергетической компании ДТЭК, которой принадлежал автобус, погибли по меньшей мере 12 человек, еще 16 получили ранения.

Операторы с территории России 100% видели и распознавали цель как гражданскую, видели, что это не военные, и приняли сознательное решение об атаке.

В воскресенье в результате удара российского дрона также пострадал роддом в Запорожье, сообщили местные власти.
Отдел Би-би-си по верификации информации BBC Verify подтвердил, что эти кадры были действительно сделаны в роддоме № 3Ю, который находится на улице Бочарова, в восточной части Запорожья.

https://www.bbc.com/russian/articles/cd0y8lpk244o
via svensk_vanja

Часто, когда вспоминаю покойную маму, в голове начинает звучать одна из ее любимых песен "По улице моей..." Taм есть две строчки, которые я не мог понять долгие годы: "И ощутить сиротство, как блаженство." Как так можно относиться к сиротству? Почему вдруг блаженство? Ведь потеря родителей, даже одного из них - это трагедия, или хотя бы часть трагедии.

Но недавно я увидел дискуссию добрых русских людей о Родине-матери. И тут до меня наконец-то дошло. Я мгновенно вспомнил то острое чувство, которое испытал уезжая из СССР. Это было именно оно — блаженство от того, что у меня уже нет и не будет той проклятой Родины-матери, которую мне вбивали в голову с детского сада. Все. Нет ее. Я теперь безродный космополит по-настоящему. Вот оно сиротство как блаженство!

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Банальность зла 2

Wed, 28 Jan 2026 18:48:54 GMT

«Полицейские не ходили по квартире, они ездили по льду»

Пережившая Холокост киевлянка замерзла в центре города, обесточенного российскими ракетами.

Никто не знает точно, когда умерла баба Женя. Знают только, от чего: от холода. Пережившая Холокост киевлянка умерла от Холодомора — в историческом центре города, на Подоле, в многоквартирном доме на улице Почайнинской. День памяти жертв Холокоста пополнился еще одним именем в мартирологе: Евгения Михайловна Бесфамильная.

Полиция отказывалась заходить в ее квартиру еще и потому, что «запаха нет — значит, и трупа нет». Был бы труп — вы бы уже почувствовали, объясняли полицейские. А соседи еще полночи сидели и придумывали аргументы, как заставить полицейских открыть дверь.

Разгадка оказалась проста: труп был замерзший.

https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2026/01/27/politseiskie-ne-khodili-po-kvartire-oni-ezdili-po-ldu

После таких новостей не то, что читать, даже открывать русский ЖЖ физически противно. Недавно, в очередном обсуждении котиков там прозвучали вопросы:

Каким способом можно видеть тоску или радость, представлять себе, развеселит нечто другого или напугает?

https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2632133.html

Как будто трудно себе представить, что Россия своими ракетными и дроновыми атаками на украинские города обрекает людей на холод и смерть. Те, кто запускают ракеты и дроны по тепло- и электростанциям прекрасно знают, чего они добиваются. А культурные русские люди живут в состоянии проклятой неизвестности.

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Fri, 16 Jan 2026 05:34:22 GMT

Россия становится все подлее и подлее в атаках на гражданское население Украины во время зимы. Как говорил покойный психолог sapojnik, наиболее распространенное отношение русских людей - Надо Быть Скотом (НБС).

В ночь на 9 января российские войска нанесли массированный удар по Киеву, после которого ситуация с теплом, светом и водоснабжением в городе резко ухудшилась. В тот же день мэр украинской столицы Виталий Кличко заявил, что без тепла осталась почти половина многоквартирных домов — около шести тысяч — и призвал тех киевлян, у кого есть такая возможность, уехать из города.

https://meduza.io/feature/2026/01/15/v-kieve-posle-rossiyskih-udarov-sotni-mnogoetazhek-ostayutsya-bez-tepla-i-sveta

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Wed, 03 Dec 2025 18:00:06 GMT

Пастухов пишет:

Сначала «линия дискуссии» сдвинулась с рубежа «Украина + Европа + Америка» против «России» на рубеж «Америка + Россия» с одной стороны против «Европа + Украина» - с другой, а теперь деградировала до противостояния Америки с Европой в формате «один на один».

Соответственно, все теперь упирается в (не)предательство Европы.

Предаст – война закончится (на этом этапе). Не предаст – продолжится. Ждем «момента истины», который, увы, по иронии истории очередной раз может оказаться «моментом предательства».

https://t.me/v_pastukhov/1733

Предательство США, т.е. переход Трампа на сторону России, воспринимается уже как факт; соответственно, люди симпатизирующие Трампу ищут способ обвинить в предательстве кого-то другого.

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Stating the obvious

Mon, 25 Aug 2025 21:52:27 GMT

The ballyhooed Alaska summit seems to have come to nothing, except let Mr. Putin stave off further sanctions pressure. Mr. Trump now says he needs another two weeks to figure out what to do. He puts the onus on both sides. “I’ll see whose fault it is,” he said. “We’re going to see whether or not they have a meeting.”

The same error was captured in Mr. Vance’s interview on NBC this weekend. “We are trying to negotiate as much as we can with both the Russians and the Ukrainians to find a middle ground to stop the killing,” he said. “We’re effectively mediating.”

How much more evident can it be that Russia is the obstacle to peace? Mr. Putin’s intent is to wipe out a relatively free and Western neighbor whose existence threatens his vision of a Greater Russia. What is the compromise position for that project? It won’t be settled by choosing parcels of land to swap.

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/donald-trump-russia-ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-vladimir-putin-sergei-lavrov-185b324d

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